All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational |
Heritage Hills Invitational |
South Knox Invitational |
Pike Central Invitational |
Pocket Athletic Conference |
South Knox Sectional |
Pike Central Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/13 |
8/26 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
| Team Rating |
720 |
731 |
749 |
|
698 |
738 |
746 |
643 |
708 |
766 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
731 |
749 |
|
698 |
738 |
746 |
643 |
708 |
766 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational |
Heritage Hills Invitational |
South Knox Invitational |
Pike Central Invitational |
Pocket Athletic Conference |
South Knox Sectional |
Pike Central Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| 150 |
Travis Hart |
11 |
16:47 |
17:09 |
16:34 |
NEI |
16:47 |
16:37 |
16:55 |
16:43 |
16:31 |
16:58 |
| 620 |
Zachary Purcell |
10 |
17:45 |
17:52 |
18:13 |
NEI |
17:37 |
17:31 |
17:48 |
17:28 |
17:53 |
17:38 |
| 802 |
Adam Reed |
11 |
18:01 |
17:31 |
17:28 |
NEI |
17:44 |
18:10 |
18:11 |
18:05 |
18:05 |
18:23 |
| 933 |
Aidan Neel |
10 |
18:10 |
18:14 |
19:00 |
|
19:33 |
18:24 |
18:07 |
17:54 |
17:53 |
17:57 |
| 1,013 |
Alex Kruse |
12 |
18:17 |
18:30 |
18:46 |
|
18:42 |
18:31 |
18:21 |
17:53 |
18:28 |
18:53 |
| 1,220 |
Skylar Lay |
11 |
18:30 |
18:27 |
18:19 |
NEI |
18:15 |
19:06 |
18:28 |
18:30 |
18:26 |
18:44 |
|
Cross Epperson |
10 |
19:23 |
19:25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hunter Topper |
11 |
19:34 |
19:28 |
19:54 |
|
19:28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Wade Happe |
10 |
19:52 |
19:27 |
19:53 |
|
19:14 |
19:51 |
20:04 |
19:51 |
20:52 |
19:46 |
|
Jackson Maurer |
11 |
20:22 |
19:06 |
20:09 |
|
|
21:37 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
15.5 |
377 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.6 |
2.3 |
5.1 |
7.5 |
9.0 |
11.6 |
10.7 |
12.8 |
10.8 |
12.4 |
15.6 |
1.7 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
5.5 |
139 |
|
0.6 |
6.7 |
23.1 |
23.9 |
19.6 |
15.1 |
11.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.2 |
71 |
0.9 |
11.0 |
57.7 |
30.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Travis Hart |
26.9% |
100.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26.9% |
26.9% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Travis Hart |
100% |
31.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Zachary Purcell |
100% |
104.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
32.6% |
| Adam Reed |
100% |
122.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.6% |
| Aidan Neel |
100% |
131.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.0% |
| Alex Kruse |
100% |
137.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
| Skylar Lay |
100% |
148.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Travis Hart |
100% |
6.5 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
2.4 |
26.8 |
14.9 |
11.8 |
9.0 |
8.2 |
6.5 |
6.2 |
5.0 |
3.4 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Zachary Purcell |
100% |
27.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
5.6 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Adam Reed |
100% |
34.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Aidan Neel |
100% |
39.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Alex Kruse |
100% |
43.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Skylar Lay |
100% |
51.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Travis Hart |
2.2 |
1.1 |
45.7 |
20.4 |
22.5 |
5.8 |
3.8 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Zachary Purcell |
11.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.4 |
0.5 |
2.8 |
5.7 |
9.2 |
15.0 |
13.6 |
13.7 |
12.6 |
10.2 |
8.1 |
4.3 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Adam Reed |
15.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
3.5 |
5.1 |
7.3 |
9.1 |
12.2 |
15.0 |
12.8 |
11.7 |
7.4 |
5.6 |
3.7 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
| Aidan Neel |
18.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
3.8 |
5.6 |
7.3 |
10.6 |
11.2 |
13.5 |
12.0 |
10.3 |
8.3 |
5.8 |
4.1 |
2.6 |
| Alex Kruse |
20.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
3.3 |
6.0 |
7.5 |
10.5 |
13.9 |
12.2 |
10.3 |
10.4 |
8.1 |
7.4 |
| Skylar Lay |
24.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
2.8 |
4.6 |
7.6 |
10.8 |
11.3 |
13.2 |
|
